Climate Change and Food Insecurity: Future Conflict Concerns

Climate-based Agricultural Decline Index (CADI) Developed

Researchers at the Barcelona School of Economics have developed the Climate-based Agricultural Decline Index (CADI). According to this index, productivity losses are most severe in tropical regions.

• Developed by researchers at the Barcelona School of Economics
• Most severe productivity losses in tropical regions

Geopolitical Shocks Raise Agricultural Costs

Geopolitical shocks are causing agricultural costs to rise. The Ukraine war affects grain markets, while the Iran conflict threatens supply through the Strait of Hormuz.

• Ukraine war impacts grain markets
• Iran conflict threatens supply through the Strait of Hormuz

Complex Impact of Climate and Geopolitical Conflicts

The complex impact of climate change and geopolitical conflicts is emerging as a serious issue. Extreme weather events like droughts, heatwaves, and floods, along with wars and trade tensions, are driving up agricultural costs.

• Extreme weather events like droughts, heatwaves, and floods
• Wars and trade tensions drive up agricultural costs

Increased Potential for Social Instability and Conflict

The potential for social instability and conflict is expected to increase. Failure to secure food could lead to social unrest, and the collapse of agricultural bases may exacerbate migration and refugee issues.

• Failure to secure food may lead to social unrest
• Collapse of agricultural bases could worsen migration and refugee issues